MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “A ‘Quiet Riot’ in the META-worse.”
Highlights The market's resilience despite META's disappointment confirms that it is just too oversold to make downside progress from here. We reiterate our view that we are in for a sideways, choppy summer leading up to the election, and that investors are better off fading the market's...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Correction Underway, Tactical Rally Due.”
The Monthly MOTR Checkup Video was published last night, so today's WMR will be brief. In essence, the correction is well underway, and currently very oversold. As indicated in Figure 1, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is currently just entering the middle of the long-term (quarterly) Momentum Zone (blue...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The ‘Beauty & the Beast’ of Trend Following.”
Corrections are a necessary evil of healthy uptrends--they reset expectations, and flush out bullish sentiment, setting the stage for the next sustained leg higher. With supports still intact, we're looking for higher levels towards the end of the summer, focusing in the meantime on developing...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Winners Being Winners, Losers Being Losers.”
Highlights The correction continues to unfold in a manner comparable to most corrections in bull markets...painful, but expected. We remain focused on key levels and which sectors/industries are leading throughout the correction. If we can get through the volatility with trends and...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Selling Begets Buying in Bull Markets.”
Highlights The correction is well underway now, with the Value Line (average stock) already down over 5% from its recent highs. The Value Line is also now in the midst of major supports and only 15% of the stocks in the S&P 500 are about their 20 day average. In addition, volatility...
More CMI More WMR More Monthly Video
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Time For Some Pain?”
With stocks selling off today, the natural question might be "is this it? Are we about to get slammed?" I can completely...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Good News, There’s More Resistance Ahead.”
Highlights The Value Line Geometric Average finally broke above overhead resistance, a battle we have been chronicling...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Small-cap Leadership, if it Manifests, Would be Uber Bullish.”
Highlights Small caps have been stubbornly underperforming large-caps, leaving us with a lingering concern that our...
The Weekly MOTR Report
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Tech Pausing, Energy & Materials Picking Up Slack.”
Highlights The Tech sector continues to languish, with breadth deterioration taking hold despite continued new highs in...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Financials Top the Leaderboard Once Again.”
Highlights Our Risk Gauges finished Q1'24 with "Risk On" readings in both the short- and medium-term timeframes, while...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Mr. Market Continues to Look Forward Optimistically.”
Highlights "Change at the margin" remains positive, and absolute levels of trend and breadth are nowhere near extreme...
Monthly MOTR
Checkup Video Series
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats.” (those with slack in their anchor line, at least)
While valuation is known to not be a very effective timing tool, at a certain point, it becomes so extreme that it does...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Scary Transition Between Launch & Escape Velocity.”
Does the market have enough fuel to transition from launch to escape velocity? Was the SMCI blowoff top a warning of worse...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Ingredients for a Bull Market are Finally in Place.”
The S&P is finally breaking out to new highs, and without a moment to spare, breadth is now positive for the first time...