MOTR Research Headlines
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Please Remove Your SOXX!!”
"Please Remove Your SOXX!!" The market has resolved its oversold condition with nearly 70% of stocks back above their 15-day average. Anticipating this, we have been laser focused on the quality of the rally to determine if it was good enough to fix the structure that was broken in...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Under Distribution Despite New Recent Highs.”
Highlights With supportive seasonals through at least December, and with the S&P less than -3% from its highs, we would not be surprised if it hit new highs in the weeks ahead. However, as we have detailed in recent weeks, there are many growing technical problems building beneath the...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “No Change, and that’s the Point.”
Highlights The ST Risk Gauge improved from 7 to 5 as the market became less oversold, but the repair was driven by defensive groups rather than cyclical leadership. Cyclical leadership groups remain broadly oversold, with little evidence of widespread participation in the recent market...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “When Mr. Market Speaks, We Listen.”
Highlights We have recently advised two things: the market was very oversold and should rally, and if that rally checked defensive boxes, we would listen and make defensive adjustments. Since the oversold condition in early Sep, the S&P has hit new highs, but leadership has been...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Cracks in the Fragile Foundation.”
Highlights Market structure continues to weaken, increasing the possibility that lower lows will be flushed out before conditions stabilize. As we've noted, market breadth continues to deteriorate, and leadership has rotated further toward defensive stocks and groups. While there is...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Under Distribution Despite New Recent Highs.”
Highlights With supportive seasonals through at least December, and with the S&P less than -3% from its highs, we...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Cracks in the Fragile Foundation.”
Highlights Market structure continues to weaken, increasing the possibility that lower lows will be flushed out before...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Don’t Look Now, but Software is Back!!””
Highlights Software is re-emerging as a leadership theme after years of severe underperformance versus semiconductors,...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “No Change, and that’s the Point.”
Highlights The ST Risk Gauge improved from 7 to 5 as the market became less oversold, but the repair was driven by...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “MT Downtick as Defense Climbs.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge medium-term timeframe has downticked to 5, deeper into 'Mixed' territory, while the...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Focusing on Change at the Margin.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge remains oversold, with the ST timeframe in the bottom half of Mixed and the MT timeframe...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Too Late for Bulls, too Early for Bears.”
Highlights We have been closely monitoring the quality of market action as the S&P scores new highs, and we don't...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Bullish for Q4, but Head on a Swivel.”
Highlights Market internals are deceptively oversold, setting the stage for a strong Q4'26 seasonal window. We are...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The Impact of 10-yr Treasury Yields Above 5.0%.”
Highlights The 40-year secular bull market in bonds ended in 2020 when 10-year sovereign bonds persistently traded with...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “The Thread Through the Maze.”
"The Thread Through the Maze." Presently, there is so much to be bullish about. Presently, there is so much to be...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Keep Calm and Carry On!”
"Keep Calm and Carry On!" Despite all the macro concerns, and even with the impending seasonal market weakness of...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Crossing the Bridge of Extremes.”
https://youtu.be/3sPAYRKWfxE "Crossing the Bridge of Extremes." Many extreme relationships have resulted from what is now...